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Atalanta v Leverkusen Prediction & Preview - Europa League Final

Bill Gaine on May 22, 2024 at 03:55 PM
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We have an Atalanta v Leverkusen prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of Wednesday's Europa League Final.

Can Atalanta upset the odds in Dublin and win their first-ever European Trophy or will Leverkusen continue what has been an unprecedently positive season continuing their unbeaten run and in turn winning their second trophy of 2024?

How To Watch Atalanta v Leverkusen

When is Atalanta v Leverkusen?

Atalanta v Leverkusen will take place on Wednesday at 8.00 pm in the Europa League.

TV Channel

TNT Sports 1 and Virgin Media 2

Live Stream

Virgin Media Player

Where is Atalanta v Leverkusen Being Played?

Aviva Stadium

Atalanta v Leverkusen Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Atalanta

10/3

15.4%

Leverkusen

4/5

73.3%

The Draw

13/5

20%

Atalanta can be gotten at 10/3 to win the game in 90 minutes, Leverkusen remain strong favourites at 4/5 to win the Europa League in 90 minutes and the game is 13/5 to be drawn and head to extra time.

Handicap Betting

Atalanta: +1 @ 20/21

Leverkusen -1 @ 9/4

Handicap Draw +1@ 13/5

Click Below For Our LIVE Atalanta v Leverkusen Odds

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Atalanta v Leverkusen Weather Forecast

The weather is forecast to be between 14 degrees with no rain.

Atalanta v Leverkusen Preview

Atalanta’s Form                   

Atalanta are the exception and not the rule when it comes to their manager Gian Piero Gasperini who was first appointed in 2016 making him one of the longest-serving managers in professional football today. Ahead of this season Atlanta finished 5th in Serie A and reached the Quarter-Finals of the Coppa Italia in 22/23. This season has been similarly positive  with Atalanta 5th in Serie A with 2 games remaining, they were runners-up in the Coppa Italia along with this Europa League Final to play

Atalanta topped their initial Europa Group with Sporting CP, Sturm Graz and Rakow Częstochowa with 14 points, 12 goals and 4 conceded. They met Sporting again in the Round of 16 and overcame them 2-3 on aggregate before booking their semi spot with a shock 3-1 aggregate win over Liverpool.

They booked their place in the final following an initial 1-1 draw away to Marseille before comfortably beating them 3-0 at home for a 4-1 aggregate victory. The pressure is off them in this final, which may just suit their chances.

Atalanta’s Last Five Results

Leece 0-2 Atalanta | May 18th | Win

Atalanta 0-1 Juventus | May 15th | Loss

Atalanta 2-1 Roma | May 12nd | Win

Atalanta 3-0 Marseille | May 9th | Win

Salernitana 1-2 Atalanta | May 6th | Win

4 Wins and 1 Loss

Leverkusen’s Form

Leverkusen have been a revelation this season under Xabi Alonso who seems to be the newest managerial hot property of the moment for his work with Leverkusen since being appointed in 2022. After a 6th place finish and Europa League Semi-Final in his first season, he has taken them to unprecedented levels of success this season so far going unbeaten with a Bundesliga success and a DFB Pokal and Europa League Final successes away from a historic treble with the club.

Unsurprisingly Leverkusen started their Europa League campaign emphatically with 6 wins from 6 against Qarabag, Molde and BK Hacken scoring 19 goals and only conceding 3 to advance to the round of 16. There they overcame playoff winners a familiar face in Qarabag in an entertaining 5-4 aggregate scoreline.

Leverkusen played Roma in their Europa League Semi-Final and the first leg of the tie continued their flying form with a 0-2 away victory. In the second leg though their unbeaten record came under jeopardy when they were 0-2 down in the 66th minute but late goals including a 97th minute equaliser from Stanišić meant the record stayed intact.

Leverkusen’s Last Five Results

Leverkusen 2-1 Augsburg | May 18th | Win

VFL Bochum 0-5 Leverkusen | May 12th | Win

Leverkusen 2-2 Roma | May 9th | Draw

Frankfurt 1-5 Leverkusen | May 5th | Win

Roma 0-2 Leverkusen | May 2nd | Wins

4 Wins and 1 Draw

Atalanta v Leverkusen Predicted Lineups

Atalanta Predicted Starting XI (3-4-2-1)

GK: Musso

RCB: Dijimsiti, CB: Hilen, LCB: Wan Bonfanti

RM: Zappacosta, CM: Koopmeiners, CM: Ederson, LM Ruggeri

AM: De Ketelaere, AM: Lookman

CF: Scamacca

Leverkusen Predicted Starting XI (3-4-2-1)

GK: Kovar.

RCB: Hincapié, CB: Tah, LCB: Tabsoba

RM: Frimpong, CM: Andrich, CM: Xhaka, LM Grimaldo

AM: Hofmann, AM: Wirtz

CF: Schick

Atalanta v Leverkusen Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Atalanta wins: 2

Leverkusen wins: 0

Draws: 0

Head-To-Head Results

Leverkusen 0-1 Atalanta | Europa League| March 17th, 2022

Atalanta 3-2 Leverkusen | Europa League | March 10th, 2022

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming in the game between both teams they average 3 goals cumulative per game compared to the competition average of 3.16.

Cards

Between both sides, they average 3.9 Cards Per Match, which is less than the competition average of 3.16.

Corners

The sides average 9.80 cumulative Corners per match between them which is less than the competition average of 9.31.

Scoring Patterns

Atalanta are strongest attacking wise t from the 46th to the 60th minute scoring 15 times from 95 shots although they have conceded 9 from 103 shots.

Leverkusen have made it a characteristic of their side that they score plenty of goals late with 20 goals from 121 shots in the last 15 minutes, they have also only conceded 4 goals from 52 shots.

Key Players To Watch

Gianluca Scamacca- Atalanta

The former West Ham striker has had a solid season with Atalanta scoring 18 times and assisting 7 goals from 41 appearances, his record in the Europa League is 6 goals from 10 matches. Scamacca's 0.78 Non-Penalty Goals, 10.35 Progressive Passes Received and 3.73 Shots Per 90 are in the 98th, 98th and 90th percentile. He will be their primary threat on Wednesday Night.

Jeremie Frimpong-Leverkusen

One of the breakout performers for Leverkusen this season has been former Man City youngster and Celtic player Frimpong (23) who has captivated the masses with his performances from RWB this season scoring 14 times and assisting 12 goals from 45 matches in all competitions.

Frimpong has an electric pace, and elite dribbling ability with 5.72 Progressive Carries, Touches Attacking Penalty area of 8.37 and 1.75 Successful Take Ons in the 99th, 99th and 95th percentile for all full-backs. However, unlike other wing backs or full backs these days he’s not a liability defensively.

Atalanta v Leverkusen Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Atalanta 0-2 Leverkusen

Atalanta are no slouches and have been a consistently dangerous side both domestically and in Europe for some time now. A victory for them would be no more than manager Gian Piero Gasperini would deserve for his longevity and consistency at the club.

However, despite the romance of an Atalanta victory from their perspective, Leverkusen are very much the team of the moment in Europe, a lesson that with the right coach and shrewd decision making the elite can be challenged sustainably.

There will be a positive story to spin no matter who is victorious on Wednesday Night,  but Leverkusen are the team to beat in Europe at the moment and I think they should be too strong for Atalanta to cope with.

Best Bet:  Leverkusen Win -1 @ 9/4

Click Below For Our LIVE Atalanta v Leverkusen Odds

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