We have a Bayern v Arsenal prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Champions League Quarter-final second-leg tie.
Bayern have only the Champions League to play for following Leverkusen’s inevitable coronation at the weekend despite a 2-0 win over Koln.
Arsenal suffered a big blow in the title race at the weekend losing 0-2 against Aston Villa but remains very much in contention for the league and Champions League.
How To Watch Bayern v Arsenal
When is Bayern v Arsenal?
Bayern v Arsenal will take place on Wednesday at 8.00 pm in the Champions League.
TV Channel
TNT Sports 2
Where is Bayern v Arsenal Being Played?
The Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany
Bayern v Arsenal Odds
Team | Odds | Chance |
---|---|---|
Bayern | 11/8 | 42.1% |
Arsenal | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Draw | 12/5 | 29.4% |
Bayern are 11/8 favourites to win this game in 90 minutes.
Arsenal are 15/8 to be ahead at the full-time whistle. The draw after 90 minutes, which would send the tie to extra-time, is priced up at 12/5.
To Qualify Betting
Bayern Munich are narrow favourites to qualify from this quarter-final at odds of 3/4.
Arsenal on the other hand are Evens odds to advance to a first Champions League semi-final since 2009.
Handicap Betting
Bayern: -1 @ 15/4
Arsenal: +1 @ 4/7
Handicap Draw: -1 @ 16/5
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Bayern v Arsenal Preview
Bayern’s Form
Bayern before the start of this season had dominated domestically winning 11 consecutive Bundesliga titles. However, they’ve been undone by a fairytale story this season with Bayer Leverkusen led by Xabi Alonso landing their first league title. Thus the Champions League is their sole chance of silverware left and to reach this stage of the Champions League they topped their Group with 16 points from their Group games with Copenhagen, Galatasaray and Man United. They then overturned a 1-0 first-leg deficit against Lazio to win 3-1.
In their Quarter Final first leg, they played out a 2-2 draw in the Emirates and could arguably be considered unlucky not to have won with their fewer shots (8) accumulating a higher XG 1.92 compared to Arsenal’s 13 shots having one of 1.00. It suggests that Bayern were able to create better chances with their limited possession of 41%
Bayern at the weekend had a 2-0 win over Koln.
Bayern's Last Five Results
Bayern 2-0 Koln | April 13th | Win
Arsenal 2-2 Bayern | April 9th | Draw
Heidenheim 3-2 Bayern | April 6th | Loss
Bayern 0-2 Dortmund | March 30th | Loss
Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern | March 16th | Win
2 Wins, 2 Losses and 1 Draw
Arsenal’s Form
Arsenal under Mikel Arteta is a fine example of a club sticking by a manager through a tough patch and bearing the fruits of it and now they’re in contention in the league and Champions League. Their defeat against Villa means they’re second and 2 points behind Man City with 6 games left. In the Champions League, they reached this stage by topping their Group with 13 points coming ahead of PSV, Lens and Sevilla. They then overcame a 1-0 first-leg deficit in the Round of 16 to win 4-2 on penalties against Porto.
While a 2-2 first-leg draw against Bayern at the Emirates is far from a disastrous result had Saka not allegedly dived when through on goal in the first leg they could be heading into this tie with a lead. Alas, the task is simple, win Wednesday and they’re into the Champions League Semi-Final.
Arsenal have never won the Champions League with their best performance being runners-up in 2006 against Barcelona.
Arsenal’s Last Five Results
Arsenal 0-2 Aston Villa | April 14th | Loss
Arsenal 2-2 Bayern | April 9th | Draw
Brighton 0-3 Arsenal | April 6th | Win
Arsenal 2-0 Luton Town | April 3rd | Win
Man City 0-0 Arsenal | March 31st | Draw
2 Wins, 2 Draws and 1 Loss
Bayern v Arsenal Weather Forecast
The weather is expected to be 9 degrees with no rain.
Bayern v Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Bayern Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Neuer
RB: Kimmich, CB: de Ligt, CB: Dier, LB: Mazraoui
CM: Laimer, CM: Goretzka
RW: Sane, AM: Muller, LW: Musiala
CF: Kane
Foden, LM: Grealish
CF: Haaland
Arsenal Predicted Starting XI (3-5-2)
GK: Raya.
RB: White, CB: Saliba, CB: Gabriel, LB: Tomiyasu
RM: Havertz, CM: Rice, LM: Jorginho
RW: Saka, CF: Jesus, LW: Trossard
Bayern v Arsenal Head-To-Head Results & Stats
All-Time HeadTo-Head Record
Bayern wins: 7
Arsenal wins: 3
Draws: 3
Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches
Arsenal 2-2 Bayern | Champions League | April 9th, 2024
Arsenal 1-5 Bayern | Champions League| May 7th, 2017
Bayern 5-1 Arsenal | Champions League| February 15th, 2017
Bayern 5-1 Arsenal | Champions League | November 4th, 2015
Arsenal 2-0 Bayern | Champions League | October 20th, 2015
Betting Trends
Goals
Coming into the match, fixtures involving either of these sides this season average 4 Goals Per Match which is more than the competition average of 3.
Cards
Between both sides, they average 2.9 Cards Per Match, which is less than the competition average of 4.36.
Corners
The sides average 12.38 Corners per match between them, which is more than the competition average of 9.94 Bayern with a total of 5.6 compared to Arsenal’s 6.78.
Scoring Patterns
Bayern are strongest from the 61st to the 75th minute scoring 18 goals from 99 shots and conceding 3 from 28 shots against.
Arsenal are similarly dangerous in the same period with 13 goals from 68 shots and conceding 1 goal from 43 shots against.
Key Players To Watch
Harry Kane – Bayern Munich
Since signing from Tottenham last summer Kane has been red-hot in front of goal with 39 goals and 12 assists from 39 matches in all competitions. Kane moved to Bayern in search of trophies and this competition is his last chance of the season to do so. However, following his first leg goal, I make him good value to score again.
Bukayo Saka – Arsenal
World Class Saka (22) has been going from strength to strength in these last two seasons and is now integral to everything good about Arsenal. From 41 matches in all competitions this season he has scored 18 goals and provided 13 assists. However, while he scored in the first leg he faced criticism for diving for a penalty not given too.
🌶️@BukayoSaka87#UCL pic.twitter.com/Fb51v4B6uy
— UEFA Champions League (@ChampionsLeague) April 17, 2024
Bayern v Arsenal Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Bayern 1-1 Arsenal
The pressure is on Bayern to perform, even if they avoided defeat away from home with the Bundesliga now gone, the Champions League is all that is left to save their season.
Arsenal lost at the weekend and so while they remain in contention on both fronts this season, a loss in this game could make another trophyless season even more likely.
Another tie firmly in the balance, but I think Bayern will have enough to come through at home.
Best Bet: Bayern @ 13/10
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*Prices are subject to fluctuation.
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