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Wales v France Prediction, Preview & Odds

Bill Gaine on Mar 7, 2024 at 02:54 PM
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We have a Wales v France prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of another round of Six Nations fixtures.

How To Watch Wales v France

When is Wales v France

3.00 pm, Saturday, March 10 th

TV Channel

BBC One, RTÉ 2

Live Stream

In Ireland, the game can be viewed on RTÉ Player. Those in the UK can stream Wales v France on ITVX.

Who are the officiating team?

Referee: Mathieu Raynal (FFR)

Assistant Referees: Chris Busby (IRFU), Morné Ferreira (SARU)

TMO: Joy Neville (IRFU)

Where is Wales v France

Principality Stadium, Cardiff

Wales v France Odds

Team

Odds

Chance

Wales

15/8

34.8%

France

4/9

69.2%

Draw

20/1

4.8%

RWC Quarter-Finalists Wales are 15/8 outsiders despite being at home, France are 4/9 favourites to return to winning ways while the draw is 20/1.

Handicap Betting

Wales: -6 @ 10/11

France +6 @ 10/11

Handicap Draw: +6 @ 18/1

Click Below For Our Live Wales v France Odds

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Team News

Wales Team News

15. Cameron Winnett, 14. Josh Adams, 13. Joe Roberts, 12. Owen Watkin, 11. Rio Dyer, 10. Sam Costelow, 9 Tomos Williams; 1. Gareth Thomas, 2. Ryan Elias, 3. Keiron Assiratti, 4. Will Rowlands, 5. Adam Beard, 6. Dafydd Jenkins (capt), 7. Tommy Reffell, 8. Aaron Wainwright Replacements: 16. Elliot Dee, 17. Corey Domachowski, 18. Dillon Lewis, 19. Alex Mann, 20. Mackenzie Martin, 21. Gareth Davies, 22. Ioan Lloyd, 23. Mason Grady

France Team News

TBC

Wales v France Weather Forecast

Ideals conditions for rugby are expected on Saturday afternoon, with no rain and little wind forecasted.

Temperature

The temperature is predicted to be between 9 and 10°C throughout the game.

Wind

A gentle breeze is expected with winds in the region at 18 km/h.

Rain

There is no rain expected for the game.

Wales v France Preview

Wales Form

Wales came into this tournament following their Pool C victory at the last RWC with four victories from four matches including an impressive 40-6 win against Australia. However, they were then eliminated at the Quarter-Final stage 17-29 against Argentina.

Wales opened up their Six Nations campaign putting in a spirited performance second-half performance against Scotland which saw them grab 2 losing bonus points in a 26-27 defeat. Their second game came against England where they lost narrowly on a 16-14 scoreline for which they earned a losing bonus point.

However, in Round 3 they were hammered 31-7 against a rampant Ireland with their 7 points coming from a penalty try in the 42 nd minute.

v France Form

Head Coach Fabien Galthié has turned French fortunes since being appointed in 2019 including a Grand Slam success during the 2022 Six Nations. At the RWC France topped their Pool which included an impressive 27-13 victory against New Zealand. However, heartbreak came at the Quarter-Final stage when they narrowly lost 28-29 to eventual winners South Africa.

Plenty were tipping France for flowers this tournament following their disappointment at the Rugby World Cup. However, they were defeated in France by Ireland 17-38 in the opening round before returning to winning ways with a narrow 16-20 win over Scotland.

France floundered in their most recent game against Italy drawing 13-13 and were very fortunate to come away without losing.

Wales Attack v France Defence

Wales have the second lowest Points Total with 47 points 10 points more than Italy. However, Wales also have the joint second most tries in the tournament with 7 along with Scotland which is less than Ireland with 15.

They come up against a French side who have disappointed during this whole Six Nations campaign with 67 points conceded an average of 22 points conceded per match which is the joint second-best defence.  Their most recent draw with Italy saw them concede 13 points and narrowly escape defeat.

v France Attack Wales Defence

France are largely known for their free-flowing attacking rugby, but during this tournament, they’ve yet to show that ability with 50 points total only 3 points more than Wales and 13 more than Italy.  Their 5 try total from the opening 3 games is only more than Italy’s 4

Wales have the second worst defence in the tournament with 74 points an average of 25 points per match, which is only two fewer conceded than Italy who have conceded 76 points with both sides after playing the top-two Ireland and Scotland.

Wales v France Rugby Head-To-Head

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

France and Wales have played each other in rugby union since 1908. A total of 103 matches have been played, with Wales winning 51 times, France 49 times and the remaining three finishing as draws.

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

2023: France won 41-28 in Stade de France

2022: France won 9- 13 in Millenium Stadium

2021: France won 32-30 in Stade de France

2020: France won 38-21 in Stade de France

2020: France won 23-27  in Millenium Stadium

Trends

France have won five of their last five matches against Wales.

Key Players

Alex Mann– Wales

With Wales struggling to put points on the board, their main try threat has been Cardiff Flanker Alex Mann (22) who only made his debut for Wales on 3 February 2024 against Scotland, coming off the bench and scoring a try. He then followed that up with a second try coming seven days later in his second Wales appearance, a 16-14 loss to England at Twickenham. He looks to be one of the most promising members of this new-look Welsh squad.

Gaël Fickou – France

One of the few solid performers from their draw against Italy was Racing Centre  Gaël Fickou who did well when his centre partner Jonathan Danty was sent off. Had it not been for his defensive work, Italy could have had their first-ever victory in France.

Wales v France Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Wales 10-20 France

Wales are in a period of transition and while they were dominated by Ireland in their last game, they were beaten by a sole score against Scotland and England which shows they remain competitive in most games.

France seems to still be suffering from the backlash of their RWC disappointment and the loss of their captain Dupont to the Sevens game. While they got out of jail in their draw against Italy, they should be well up for this game to show they remain a serious outfit.

Best Bet: France To Win Both Halves By 4 Points Or More 5/2

Click Below For Our Live Wales v France Odds

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*Prices subject to fluctuation

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